Combat Edge Intelligence

Barb Honchak vs Carli Judice

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Barb Honchak
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Barb Honchak

“Little Warrior”

10-4-0FlyweightUFC

1630Solid

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record6-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'7"
37,0"Reach68"
124 lbsWeight125 lbs
Miletich Fighting SystemsTeamHeadkicks MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Barb HonchakNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Carli JudiceNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.04
Sig. strikes / min
9.32
30%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.62
66%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
0.52
0%
Takedown accuracy
25%
0%
Takedown defense
81%
1.27
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Barb HonchakCarli Judice
155016001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
2 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (70%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Carli Judice70%
Barb Honchak 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Carli Judice a 70% favorite over Barb Honchak in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Barb Honchak's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1623), separated by just 7 points.

Barb Honchak enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carli Judice enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Barb Honchak finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Carli Judice 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.