Combat Edge Intelligence

Baris Adiguzel vs Brady Hiestand

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
71"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Boxing SquadTeamSikjitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Baris AdiguzelNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Brady HiestandNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.70
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.75
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.80
TBD
Takedown accuracy
46%
TBD
Takedown defense
43%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.07

Trajectory

Baris AdiguzelBrady Hiestand
155016001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (80%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
1 (10%)
Submission
3 (38%)
1 (10%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Baris Adiguzel53%
Brady Hiestand 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Baris Adiguzel a 53% favorite over Brady Hiestand in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1660), separated by just 1 points.

Brady Hiestand enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Baris Adiguzel finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Brady Hiestand 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.