Combat Edge Intelligence

Baris Adiguzel vs Muin Gafurov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record20-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Boxing SquadTeamTaj-Fighter

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Baris AdiguzelNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Muin GafurovNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.89
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.21
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.47
TBD
Takedown accuracy
26%
TBD
Takedown defense
70%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Baris AdiguzelMuin Gafurov
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (80%)
KO/TKO
10 (50%)
1 (10%)
Submission
7 (35%)
1 (10%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Baris Adiguzel51%
Muin Gafurov 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Baris Adiguzel a 51% favorite over Muin Gafurov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1660), separated by just 3 points.

Baris Adiguzel finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Muin Gafurov 85%.

Baris Adiguzel carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.