Combat Edge Intelligence

Bart Palaszewski vs Mads Burnell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

36-17-0Record19-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReach68.00"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team CurranTeamArte Suave Copenhagen

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bart PalaszewskiNow 1665
If they win+12→ 1677
If they lose-12→ 1653
Mads BurnellNow 1667
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.67
Sig. strikes / min
1.28
33%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
58%
Strike defense
51%
0.65
Takedown avg.
3.45
31%
Takedown accuracy
47%
53%
Takedown defense
22%
0.52
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Bart PalaszewskiMads Burnell
16501700201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

18 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
10 (28%)
Submission
9 (47%)
8 (22%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Mads Burnell70%
Bart Palaszewski 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mads Burnell a 70% favorite over Bart Palaszewski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1667), separated by just 2 points.

Bart Palaszewski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bart Palaszewski finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Mads Burnell 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.