Bas Rutten vs Evgeny Goncharov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-4-1Record23-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
--Reach-
205 lbsWeight266 lbs
TBDTeamRaty Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1793
If they lose-12→ 1769
If they win+12→ 1785
If they lose-12→ 1761
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bas RuttenEvgeny Goncharov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Evgeny Goncharov60%
Bas Rutten 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Evgeny Goncharov a 60% favorite over Bas Rutten in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bas Rutten's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1781 vs 1773), separated by just 8 points.
Bas Rutten enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Evgeny Goncharov enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Bas Rutten finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Evgeny Goncharov 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.