Combat Edge Intelligence

Basel Shalaan vs Rodrigo Vargas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record16-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'7"
72"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
Rebell EgyptTeamMexican Pride Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Basel ShalaanNow 1625
If they win+24→ 1649
If they lose-24→ 1601
Rodrigo VargasNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.65
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.77
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.40
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
30%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Basel ShalaanRodrigo Vargas
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
4 (57%)
Submission
7 (44%)
2 (29%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Basel Shalaan60%
Rodrigo Vargas 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Basel Shalaan a 60% favorite over Rodrigo Vargas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1625), separated by just 0 points.

Basel Shalaan enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Rodrigo Vargas enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Basel Shalaan finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Vargas 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.