Combat Edge Intelligence

Bassil Hafez vs Sean Spencer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Bassil Hafez
us

Bassil Hafez

“The Habibi”

9-5-1WelterweightUFC

1584Solid
Sean Spencer
us

Sean Spencer

“Black Magic”

12-7-0WelterweightLFA

1581Solid

Tale of the tape

9-5-1Record12-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
72"Reach75,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bassil HafezNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Sean SpencerNow 1581
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
4.24
38%
Strike accuracy
32%
5.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.02
42%
Strike defense
61%
2.21
Takedown avg.
0.14
24%
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
69%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bassil HafezSean Spencer
160020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
4 (44%)
Submission
2 (17%)
4 (44%)
Decision
8 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Bassil Hafez60%
Sean Spencer 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bassil Hafez a 60% favorite over Sean Spencer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1581), separated by just 3 points.

Sean Spencer enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Bassil Hafez finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Sean Spencer 33%.

Bassil Hafez and Sean Spencer share 1 common opponent: Evan Cutts.

Sean Spencer carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinRight Hand · 2023
LossDecision (Split) · 2021
Evan Cutts
Win Decision · 2012