Combat Edge Intelligence

Bec Rawlings vs Juliana Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record4-4-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
64,0"Reach66"
116 lbsWeight125 lbs
Alliance MMATeam10th Planet San Diego

What's at stake

Juliana Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Bec Rawlings carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bec RawlingsNow 1503
If they win+17→ 1520
If they lose-15→ 1488
Juliana MillerNow 1523
If they win+23→ 1546
If they lose-25→ 1498

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.48
Sig. strikes / min
2.73
43%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.78
57%
Strike defense
36%
0.71
Takedown avg.
2.20
40%
Takedown accuracy
39%
68%
Takedown defense
44%
0.36
Submission avg.
1.26

Trajectory

Bec RawlingsJuliana Miller
15001550201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
4 (50%)
Submission
2 (50%)
3 (38%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Juliana Miller63%
Bec Rawlings 37%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Juliana Miller a 63% favorite over Bec Rawlings in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Juliana Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1523 to 1503, a 20-point edge.

Bec Rawlings finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Juliana Miller 75%.

Juliana Miller carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.