Ben Earwood vs Danny Roberts
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record18-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Miletich Martial ArtsTeamTeam McHale
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ben EarwoodDanny Roberts
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ben Earwood61%
Danny Roberts 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ben Earwood a 61% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Danny Roberts's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1617), separated by just 3 points.
Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ben Earwood finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Danny Roberts 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.