Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Holscher vs Kamuela Kirk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kamuela Kirk
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Kamuela Kirk

“The Jawaiian”

12-7-0LightweightUFC

1583Solid

Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record12-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamSiege MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ben HolscherNow 1584
If they win+24→ 1608
If they lose-24→ 1560
Kamuela KirkNow 1583
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1477 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.87
TBD
Strike defense
40%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
26%
TBD
Takedown defense
47%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.20

Trajectory

Ben HolscherKamuela Kirk
155016002009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
1 (25%)
Submission
6 (50%)
2 (50%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Ben Holscher60%
Kamuela Kirk 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ben Holscher a 60% favorite over Kamuela Kirk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1583), separated by just 1 points.

Ben Holscher enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Kamuela Kirk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ben Holscher finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kamuela Kirk 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.