Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Johnston vs Papy Abedi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Papy Abedi
se

Papy Abedi

“Makambo”

10-4-0MiddleweightSC

1566Solid

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Fight CentreTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ben JohnstonNow 1569
If they win+24→ 1593
If they lose-24→ 1545
Papy AbediNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
2.80
TBD
Strike accuracy
55%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.15
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.47
TBD
Takedown accuracy
57%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.30

Trajectory

Ben JohnstonPapy Abedi
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
4 (80%)
Submission
2 (20%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Ben Johnston70%
Papy Abedi 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ben Johnston a 70% favorite over Papy Abedi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1566), separated by just 3 points.

Ben Johnston finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Papy Abedi 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.