Ben Rothwell vs Ryan Spann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
39-14-0Record24-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
78"Reach79"
265 lbsWeight205 lbs
Rothwell MMATeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-12→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ben RothwellRyan Spann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Spann70%
Ben Rothwell 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Spann a 70% favorite over Ben Rothwell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ben Rothwell's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1710), separated by just 3 points.
Ryan Spann enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ben Rothwell finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Spann 88%.
Ben Rothwell and Ryan Spann share 1 common opponent: Ovince St. Preux.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.