Ben Saunders vs Lucas Gabriel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-13-2Record11-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'9"
45,0"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team OrlandoTeamNova Uniao Phuket
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1655
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ben SaundersLucas Gabriel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Gabriel73%
Ben Saunders 27%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Gabriel a 73% favorite over Ben Saunders in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1671), separated by just 4 points.
Lucas Gabriel enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Ben Saunders finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Gabriel 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.