Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Saunders vs Max Griffin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-13-2Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
45,0"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team OrlandoTeamMMAGOLD Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ben SaundersNow 1667
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1655
Max GriffinNow 1669
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
50%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.70
51%
Strike defense
58%
0.20
Takedown avg.
1.28
40%
Takedown accuracy
41%
67%
Takedown defense
70%
1.30
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Ben SaundersMax Griffin
1650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
6 (26%)
Submission
2 (10%)
6 (26%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Max Griffin70%
Ben Saunders 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Max Griffin a 70% favorite over Ben Saunders in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1669), separated by just 2 points.

Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ben Saunders finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Max Griffin 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.