Combat Edge Intelligence

Bendy Casimir vs Jake McHugh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-15-2Record4-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Drysdale Jiu-JitsuTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bendy CasimirNow 1551
If they win+12→ 1563
If they lose-12→ 1539
Jake McHughNow 1545
If they win+24→ 1569
If they lose-24→ 1521

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.74
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
28%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bendy CasimirJake McHugh
15001550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (18%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
14 (64%)
Submission
2 (50%)
4 (18%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Jake McHugh60%
Bendy Casimir 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jake McHugh a 60% favorite over Bendy Casimir in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bendy Casimir's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1545), separated by just 6 points.

Bendy Casimir finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Jake McHugh 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.