Bevon Lewis vs Marcio Alexandre Junior
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record16-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
79.00ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAstra Fight Team
What's at stake
Bevon Lewis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Marcio Alexandre Junior carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1532
If they lose-27→ 1484
If they win+27→ 1494
If they lose-21→ 1446
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1617 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bevon LewisMarcio Alexandre Junior
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bevon Lewis62%
Marcio Alexandre Junior 38%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Bevon Lewis a 62% favorite over Marcio Alexandre Junior in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Bevon Lewis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1511 to 1467, a 44-point edge.
Bevon Lewis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bevon Lewis finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Alexandre Junior 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.