Bevon Lewis vs Wataru Sakata
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record11-14-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height5'9"
79.00ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight178 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamFreelance
What's at stake
Bevon Lewis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Wataru Sakata carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1534
If they lose-25→ 1486
If they win+13→ 1509
If they lose-11→ 1485
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1617 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bevon LewisWataru Sakata
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bevon Lewis60%
Wataru Sakata 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Bevon Lewis a 60% favorite over Wataru Sakata in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Bevon Lewis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1511 to 1496, a 15-point edge.
Bevon Lewis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Wataru Sakata enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Bevon Lewis finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Wataru Sakata 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.