Combat Edge Intelligence

Biaggio Ali Walsh vs Leonardo Mafra Texeira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record15-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme Couture MMATeamKings MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Biaggio Ali WalshNow 1570
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546
Leonardo Mafra TexeiraNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.55
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.38
TBD
Strike defense
44%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.12
TBD
Takedown accuracy
83%
TBD
Takedown defense
69%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Biaggio Ali WalshLeonardo Mafra Texeira
1500155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (7%)
1 (25%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Biaggio Ali Walsh70%
Leonardo Mafra Texeira 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Biaggio Ali Walsh a 70% favorite over Leonardo Mafra Texeira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1570), separated by just 0 points.

Biaggio Ali Walsh enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Leonardo Mafra Texeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Biaggio Ali Walsh finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Mafra Texeira 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.