Combat Edge Intelligence

Biaggio Ali Walsh vs Waylon Lowe

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record16-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
72"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Xtreme Couture MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Biaggio Ali WalshNow 1570
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546
Waylon LoweNow 1571
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.92
TBD
Strike accuracy
56%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.81
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.58
TBD
Takedown accuracy
52%
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Biaggio Ali WalshWaylon Lowe
150015502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (19%)
1 (25%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Biaggio Ali Walsh62%
Waylon Lowe 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Biaggio Ali Walsh a 62% favorite over Waylon Lowe in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Waylon Lowe's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1571), separated by just 1 points.

Biaggio Ali Walsh enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Biaggio Ali Walsh finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Waylon Lowe 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.