Bill Algeo vs Bruno Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record13-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"Reach70"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Titan PATeamMachida Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bill AlgeoBruno Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bruno Souza66%
Bill Algeo 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Souza a 66% favorite over Bill Algeo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1666), separated by just 2 points.
Bill Algeo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bruno Souza enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Bill Algeo finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Bruno Souza 25%.
Bill Algeo carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.