Bill Algeo vs Luke Sanders
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record13-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
73"ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Titan PATeamNashville MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bill AlgeoLuke Sanders
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Sanders52%
Bill Algeo 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Sanders a 52% favorite over Bill Algeo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bill Algeo's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1663), separated by just 1 points.
Bill Algeo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luke Sanders enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bill Algeo finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Luke Sanders 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.