Combat Edge Intelligence

Bill Algeo vs Matt Bessette

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bill Algeo
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Bill Algeo

“Senor Perfecto”

18-9-0FeatherweightUFC

1664Good

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record25-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"Reach39,0"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Titan PATeamUnderdog Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bill AlgeoNow 1664
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
Matt BessetteNow 1663
If they win+12→ 1675
If they lose-12→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.88
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
52%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.45
47%
Strike defense
59%
1.03
Takedown avg.
0.64
50%
Takedown accuracy
29%
55%
Takedown defense
61%
0.11
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Bill AlgeoMatt Bessette
1650170020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (22%)
KO/TKO
8 (32%)
7 (39%)
Submission
9 (36%)
7 (39%)
Decision
8 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bill Algeo and Matt Bessette within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1663), separated by just 1 points.

Bill Algeo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bill Algeo finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Matt Bessette 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.