Bill Mahood vs Nell Ariano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-1Record6-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Revolution Fight TeamTeamPlatinum MMA Training Centre
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629
If they win+24→ 1661
If they lose-24→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bill MahoodNell Ariano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nell Ariano79%
Bill Mahood 21%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Nell Ariano a 79% favorite over Bill Mahood in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bill Mahood's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1637), separated by just 4 points.
Bill Mahood enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Nell Ariano enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Bill Mahood finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Nell Ariano 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.