Bin Xie vs Ernest Chavez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record10-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Tianjin Top TeamTeamTotal MMA Studios
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bin XieErnest Chavez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bin Xie57%
Ernest Chavez 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bin Xie a 57% favorite over Ernest Chavez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ernest Chavez's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1647), separated by just 2 points.
Ernest Chavez enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Bin Xie finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Ernest Chavez 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.