BJ Penn vs Maheshate Hayisaer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-14-2Record10-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
70"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
BJ Penn's MMATeamEnbo Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
BJ PennMaheshate Hayisaer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Maheshate Hayisaer70%
BJ Penn 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Maheshate Hayisaer a 70% favorite over BJ Penn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1618), separated by just 3 points.
BJ Penn enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Maheshate Hayisaer enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
BJ Penn finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Maheshate Hayisaer 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.