Combat Edge Intelligence

Blagoy Ivanov vs Jovan Leka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record13-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
73"Reach75"
258 lbsWeight259 lbs
SK Absolute BulgariaTeamFamily Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Blagoy IvanovNow 1682
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666
Jovan LekaNow 1677
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
1.60
41%
Strike accuracy
75%
4.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.60
53%
Strike defense
44%
0.69
Takedown avg.
1
40%
Takedown accuracy
100%
62%
Takedown defense
56%
0.12
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Blagoy IvanovJovan Leka
16001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (32%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
6 (32%)
Submission
4 (31%)
7 (37%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Jovan Leka70%
Blagoy Ivanov 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jovan Leka a 70% favorite over Blagoy Ivanov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Blagoy Ivanov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1677), separated by just 5 points.

Blagoy Ivanov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jovan Leka enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Blagoy Ivanov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Jovan Leka 85%.

Jovan Leka carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.