Combat Edge Intelligence

Blake Bilder vs Josh Culibao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Blake Bilder
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Blake Bilder

“El Animal”

8-2-1FeatherweightUFC

1638Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-1Record11-4-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Spartan Martial ArtsTeamIgor MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Blake BilderNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Josh CulibaoNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.81
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
48%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
54%
Strike defense
60%
0.31
Takedown avg.
0
8%
Takedown accuracy
0%
71%
Takedown defense
66%
0.62
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Blake BilderJosh Culibao
16001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
4 (50%)
Submission
1 (9%)
3 (38%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Blake Bilder52%
Josh Culibao 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Blake Bilder a 52% favorite over Josh Culibao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1637), separated by just 1 points.

Blake Bilder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Culibao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Blake Bilder finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Josh Culibao 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.