Combat Edge Intelligence

Bob Gilstrap vs Matheus Scheffel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-7-0Record17-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
210 lbsWeight262 lbs
TBDTeamCM System

What's at stake

Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Bob Gilstrap carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bob GilstrapNow 1477
If they win+18→ 1495
If they lose-14→ 1463
Matheus ScheffelNow 1521
If they win+10→ 1531
If they lose-14→ 1507

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bob GilstrapMatheus Scheffel
15001550160020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
3 (60%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Matheus Scheffel68%
Bob Gilstrap 32%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 68% favorite over Bob Gilstrap in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1477, a 44-point edge.

Bob Gilstrap enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Bob Gilstrap finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Scheffel 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.