Bob Gilstrap vs Patrick Vespaziani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-7-0Record6-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'7"
TBDReach79"
210 lbsWeight242 lbs
TBDTeamMMA Spirit
What's at stake
Patrick Vespaziani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Bob Gilstrap carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1495
If they lose-14→ 1463
If they win+14→ 1543
If they lose-18→ 1511
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bob GilstrapPatrick Vespaziani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Vespaziani78%
Bob Gilstrap 22%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 78% favorite over Bob Gilstrap in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Patrick Vespaziani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1529 to 1477, a 52-point edge.
Bob Gilstrap enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bob Gilstrap finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Vespaziani 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.