Combat Edge Intelligence

Bobby Lashley vs Martin Buday

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record16-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
TBDReach77"
241 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Top Team AltitudeTeamSpartakus Fight Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bobby LashleyNow 1695
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679
Martin BudayNow 1700
If they win+16→ 1716
If they lose-16→ 1684

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.49
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.15
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
TBD
Takedown defense
93%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Bobby LashleyMartin Buday
1650170017502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
6 (40%)
Submission
2 (13%)
3 (20%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Martin Buday66%
Bobby Lashley 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Martin Buday a 66% favorite over Bobby Lashley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1700), separated by just 5 points.

Bobby Lashley enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Martin Buday enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bobby Lashley finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Martin Buday 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.