Combat Edge Intelligence

Bobby Stack vs Jeremy Stephens

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bobby Stack
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Bobby Stack

8-3-0LightweightEl Niño Training Center

1546Average

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record29-23-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach71"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Skrap PackTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bobby StackNow 1546
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522
Jeremy StephensNow 1551
If they win+12→ 1563
If they lose-12→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.11
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
62%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Bobby StackJeremy Stephens
155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
19 (66%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (7%)
5 (63%)
Decision
8 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bobby Stack and Jeremy Stephens within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1551), separated by just 5 points.

Bobby Stack enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bobby Stack finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Stephens 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.