Combat Edge Intelligence

Bogdan Guskov vs Navajo Stirling

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-3-0Record10-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
76"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
GOR MMATeamCity Kickboxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bogdan GuskovNow 1733
If they win+16→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1717
Navajo StirlingNow 1734
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
6.24
51%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
50%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
0.86
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bogdan GuskovNavajo Stirling
15501600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (83%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
3 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Navajo Stirling57%
Bogdan Guskov 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Navajo Stirling a 57% favorite over Bogdan Guskov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1733 vs 1734), separated by just 1 points.

Navajo Stirling enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Navajo Stirling 60%.

Navajo Stirling carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.