Combat Edge Intelligence

Bojan Veličković vs Jesse Lennox

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-13-2Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
76"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamMiletich Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bojan VeličkovićNow 1645
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633
Jesse LennoxNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
2.69
35%
Strike accuracy
32%
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.20
58%
Strike defense
65%
0.67
Takedown avg.
1.22
25%
Takedown accuracy
67%
55%
Takedown defense
64%
0.50
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Bojan VeličkovićJesse Lennox
16001650200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (32%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
11 (44%)
Submission
6 (43%)
6 (24%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Bojan Veličković52%
Jesse Lennox 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bojan Veličković a 52% favorite over Jesse Lennox in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1644), separated by just 1 points.

Jesse Lennox enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bojan Veličković finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Lennox 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.