Combat Edge Intelligence

Bojan Veličković vs Nathan Coy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nathan Coy
us

Nathan Coy

“Soulforce”

15-7-0WelterweightUFC

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

25-13-2Record15-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
76"Reach39,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bojan VeličkovićNow 1641
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629
Nathan CoyNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
3.88
35%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.40
58%
Strike defense
62%
0.67
Takedown avg.
3.17
25%
Takedown accuracy
47%
55%
Takedown defense
50%
0.50
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bojan VeličkovićNathan Coy
160016502016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (32%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
11 (44%)
Submission
4 (27%)
6 (24%)
Decision
8 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Bojan Veličković56%
Nathan Coy 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bojan Veličković a 56% favorite over Nathan Coy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1639), separated by just 2 points.

Bojan Veličković finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Coy 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.