Combat Edge Intelligence

Bojan Veličković vs Tymoteusz Łopaczyk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-13-2Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
76"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamWCA Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bojan VeličkovićNow 1645
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633
Tymoteusz ŁopaczykNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
35%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
0.67
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
55%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.50
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bojan VeličkovićTymoteusz Łopaczyk
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (32%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
11 (44%)
Submission
4 (29%)
6 (24%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Tymoteusz Łopaczyk64%
Bojan Veličković 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tymoteusz Łopaczyk a 64% favorite over Bojan Veličković in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1646), separated by just 1 points.

Bojan Veličković finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Tymoteusz Łopaczyk 79%.

Bojan Veličković carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.