Brad Blackburn vs Michael Dubois
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-13-1Record15-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach70"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Victory AthleticsTeamStrike Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1521
If they lose-15→ 1489
If they win+12→ 1530
If they lose-12→ 1506
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad BlackburnMichael Dubois
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Dubois84%
Brad Blackburn 16%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Dubois a 84% favorite over Brad Blackburn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1504 vs 1518), separated by just 14 points.
Brad Blackburn enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Michael Dubois enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Blackburn finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Michael Dubois 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.