Brad Blackburn vs Taylor Michels
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-13-1Record1-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach70"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Victory AthleticsTeamAcademy of Combat Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1520
If they lose-16→ 1488
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad BlackburnTaylor Michels
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Taylor Michels70%
Brad Blackburn 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Michels a 70% favorite over Brad Blackburn in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brad Blackburn's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1504 vs 1498), separated by just 6 points.
Brad Blackburn enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brad Blackburn finishes 72% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.