Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Katona vs Cameron Saaiman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Brad Katona
ca

Brad Katona

“Superman”

14-5-0BantamweightUFC

1647Solid

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record9-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
64"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamTeam CIT

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brad KatonaNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
Cameron SaaimanNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.84
Sig. strikes / min
5.30
53%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
50%
Strike defense
52%
1.88
Takedown avg.
0.89
34%
Takedown accuracy
29%
62%
Takedown defense
47%
0
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Brad KatonaCameron Saaiman
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
3 (21%)
Submission
1 (11%)
10 (71%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Cameron Saaiman56%
Brad Katona 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Saaiman a 56% favorite over Brad Katona in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brad Katona's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1646), separated by just 1 points.

Brad Katona enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cameron Saaiman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brad Katona finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Cameron Saaiman 78%.

Cameron Saaiman carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.