Brad Katona vs Chris Holdsworth
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record6-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'11"
64"Reach71,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
If they win+24→ 1668
If they lose-24→ 1620
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad KatonaChris Holdsworth
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brad Katona52%
Chris Holdsworth 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brad Katona a 52% favorite over Chris Holdsworth in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1644), separated by just 3 points.
Brad Katona enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Holdsworth enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Brad Katona finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Chris Holdsworth 83%.
Chris Holdsworth carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.