Brad Mitchell vs Chris Avila
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record8-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
70,0"Reach39,0"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Octagon MMATeamCesar Gracie Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1523
If they lose-24→ 1475
If they win+16→ 1511
If they lose-16→ 1479
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad MitchellChris Avila
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Avila70%
Brad Mitchell 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Avila a 70% favorite over Brad Mitchell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brad Mitchell's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1499 vs 1495), separated by just 4 points.
Brad Mitchell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Mitchell finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Chris Avila 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.