Brad Mitchell vs Matteo Martignoni
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record3-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'11"
70,0"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Octagon MMATeamAurora MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1524
If they lose-23→ 1476
If they win+23→ 1535
If they lose-25→ 1487
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad MitchellMatteo Martignoni
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matteo Martignoni66%
Brad Mitchell 34%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Matteo Martignoni a 66% favorite over Brad Mitchell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1499 vs 1512), separated by just 13 points.
Brad Mitchell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Mitchell finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Matteo Martignoni 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.