Brad Pickett vs Josias Musasa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-14-0Record8-2-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68,0"Reach74"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamElite Training Center - Lubumbashi
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1634
If they lose-12→ 1610
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad PickettJosias Musasa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josias Musasa70%
Brad Pickett 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josias Musasa a 70% favorite over Brad Pickett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brad Pickett's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1619), separated by just 3 points.
Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Josias Musasa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Pickett finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Josias Musasa 88%.
Josias Musasa carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.