Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Tavares vs Damian Pinas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Damian Pinas
aw

Damian Pinas

“The Baba Yaga”

10-1-0MiddleweightUFC

1702Good

Tale of the tape

21-12-0Record10-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brad TavaresNow 1698
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
Damian PinasNow 1702
If they win+16→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1686

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
7.50
44%
Strike accuracy
56%
3.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.75
55%
Strike defense
57%
0.70
Takedown avg.
0
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brad TavaresDamian Pinas
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (24%)
KO/TKO
9 (90%)
2 (10%)
Submission
1 (10%)
14 (67%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Damian Pinas83%
Brad Tavares 17%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Damian Pinas a 83% favorite over Brad Tavares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1702), separated by just 4 points.

Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Damian Pinas enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Damian Pinas 100%.

Damian Pinas carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.