Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Tavares vs Eslam Abdul Baset

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-12-0Record16-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"ReachN/A
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamBlack Bulls Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brad TavaresNow 1698
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
Eslam Abdul BasetNow 1701
If they win+16→ 1717
If they lose-16→ 1685

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1483 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.42
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
0.73
Takedown avg.
TBD
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
81%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brad TavaresEslam Abdul Baset
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (24%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
2 (10%)
Submission
3 (19%)
14 (67%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Eslam Abdul Baset55%
Brad Tavares 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eslam Abdul Baset a 55% favorite over Brad Tavares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1701), separated by just 3 points.

Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eslam Abdul Baset enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Eslam Abdul Baset 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.