Combat Edge Intelligence

Brady Hiestand vs Caolán Loughran

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
71"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
SikjitsuTeamTeam Kaobon

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brady HiestandNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
Caolán LoughranNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
51%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.80
51%
Strike defense
55%
4.80
Takedown avg.
5
46%
Takedown accuracy
42%
43%
Takedown defense
0%
1.07
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brady HiestandCaolán Loughran
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
3 (38%)
Submission
3 (27%)
2 (25%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Caolán Loughran52%
Brady Hiestand 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Caolán Loughran a 52% favorite over Brady Hiestand in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brady Hiestand's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1660), separated by just 0 points.

Brady Hiestand enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Brady Hiestand finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Caolán Loughran 73%.

Brady Hiestand carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.