Combat Edge Intelligence

Brady Hiestand vs Santiago Luna

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"Reach74"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
SikjitsuTeamEntram Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brady HiestandNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
Santiago LunaNow 1662
If they win+24→ 1686
If they lose-24→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
8.20
51%
Strike accuracy
55%
3.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
51%
Strike defense
72%
4.80
Takedown avg.
4.21
46%
Takedown accuracy
83%
43%
Takedown defense
50%
1.07
Submission avg.
0.84

Trajectory

Brady HiestandSantiago Luna
155016001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
3 (38%)
Submission
4 (50%)
2 (25%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Santiago Luna62%
Brady Hiestand 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Santiago Luna a 62% favorite over Brady Hiestand in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1662), separated by just 2 points.

Brady Hiestand enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Brady Hiestand finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Luna 88%.

Santiago Luna carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.