Combat Edge Intelligence

Brahyan Zurcher vs Ernest Chavez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ernest Chavez
us

Ernest Chavez

“The Mad Titan”

10-2-0FeatherweightRFA

1647Solid

Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record10-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Cobrinha BJJTeamTotal MMA Studios

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brahyan ZurcherNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Ernest ChavezNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.79
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.89
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.89
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brahyan ZurcherErnest Chavez
16001650201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
3 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (22%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Brahyan Zurcher60%
Ernest Chavez 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brahyan Zurcher a 60% favorite over Ernest Chavez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ernest Chavez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1647), separated by just 1 points.

Ernest Chavez enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Brahyan Zurcher finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Ernest Chavez 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.