Brandon Davis vs Cameron Smotherman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-12-0Record12-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Alan Belcher MMA ClubTeamMetro Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon DavisCameron Smotherman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cameron Smotherman60%
Brandon Davis 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Smotherman a 60% favorite over Brandon Davis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brandon Davis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1597), separated by just 0 points.
Brandon Davis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cameron Smotherman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brandon Davis finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Cameron Smotherman 58%.
Brandon Davis carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.