Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Davis vs Edson Machavane

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-12-0Record7-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Alan Belcher MMA ClubTeamCreonte BJJ Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon DavisNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Edson MachavaneNow 1596
If they win+24→ 1620
If they lose-24→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.68
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
0.74
Takedown avg.
TBD
7%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
58%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.12
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brandon DavisEdson Machavane
155016001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
4 (27%)
Submission
3 (43%)
7 (47%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Edson Machavane63%
Brandon Davis 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Edson Machavane a 63% favorite over Brandon Davis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brandon Davis's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1596), separated by just 1 points.

Brandon Davis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Edson Machavane enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brandon Davis finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Edson Machavane 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.