Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Davis vs Mando Gutierrez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-12-0Record9-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'6"
72"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Alan Belcher MMA ClubTeamMurcielago MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon DavisNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Mando GutierrezNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.68
Sig. strikes / min
0.80
36%
Strike accuracy
75%
4.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.33
59%
Strike defense
50%
0.74
Takedown avg.
1
7%
Takedown accuracy
100%
58%
Takedown defense
40%
0.12
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Brandon DavisMando Gutierrez
1600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
4 (27%)
Submission
6 (67%)
7 (47%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Mando Gutierrez66%
Brandon Davis 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mando Gutierrez a 66% favorite over Brandon Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.

Brandon Davis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brandon Davis finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Mando Gutierrez 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.